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The stock market crash of 1929 - charts and videos

 

 

OLD VERSION OF THIS PAGE, THE NEW VERSION IS HERE

 

Many similarities between the corona crash and the 1929 crashes can be observed. Note the corona virus is the excuse or catalyst, how this market responded to a rate cut dictates that there is a bearish mood in the air. ( March 2020 )

 

Prior to crash

 

1. Easy credit makes everyone rich (See video 1)

2. Too many people are already long of property and stocks. (Nobody left to buy)

3. High leveraging is available to people, even those with poor credit ratings.

4. The markets become dependent on credit to sustain themselves.

5. The markets make all time highs 1 year before the crash.

 

 

During the crash

 

1. The inevitable domino effect sweeps through the market causing a succession of margin calls.

2. People try to sell, but there are no buyers. (See video2)

3. Markets go into nosedive

4. Regulators try to stem the declines but succeed only in making things worse. (See video3)

5. Regulators clamp down on short selling, and blame speculators for declines. (See video5)

6. Bank runs cause panic withdrawals from banks

7. People rush to buy gold

 

The aftermath....continued below videos

 

 

 

The crash of 1929 Part1

The crash of 1929 Part 2
The crash of 1929 Part 3
The crash of 1929 Part 4
The crash of 1929 Part 5
 

                                    View 1929 chart, dates and scenarios

1929 crash chart
 
1929 crash in percent
 

                               1929 data showing percentage declines and dates

 

  • The Average stock P-E in September 1929 was 32

  • The Average stock P-E in 1932 was 6

  • The Dow Jones fell from 386 to 40  which was an 89% decline

  • The main "Black days" were  October 24th, 28th, 29th...)

  • The worst of these being Black Tuesday the 29th October 1929

  • If history repeats itself we will be looking at the following prices in 2011

  • Dow Jones at 1250.65 in 2011, from a high of 11543 in 2007

  • FT-SE100 at 740.32 in 2011, from a high of 6950 in 2007

  • SP500 at 160.65 in 2011 from its high of 1576 in 2007

  • Most speculators were wiped out but one exceptional man named Jesse Livermore was rumoured to have made over $10,000,000 on Black Tuesday

  • A new age of austere financial restrictions come into place  in 1929, Breadlines, the great depression and mass unemployed

  • It was also noted that skirt lengths of ladies clothes correspond with how the economy is progressing. Skirts get shorter and shorter when booming and longer during economic downturns. The theory is that high wealth leads to looser morals and recessions cause people to be more conservative and hence get longer skirts. How long are the skirts you see around you this year? .....

     

     

     

     

 

 

 

 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE

 

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

 

 

 

RISK DISCLOSURE

 

  • Futures, Forex and Stock trading contain substantial risk and are not for every investor.

  • An investor could potentially lose all or more of the initial investment.

  • Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or lifestyle.

  • Only risk capital should be used for trading

  • Only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading.

  • Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last update

March 8th 2020

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